Archive for the “Congressional Races” Category

Stay tuned…AWB will be calling in and posting results as they happen from the 3rd District Caucus in Columbia City.

This is getting more confusing my the minute. Here’s the new instructions.

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FWOb is reporting:

The 3rd District Caucus will be moved from the Columbia Joint High School to the Indian Springs Middle School due to water in the basement of the high school that has shorted out the electrical system

Click here for a Google map.

Maybe all the rumormongers will read this and come to the conclusion that until they know the facts, maybe they should keep their mouths shut.

House rules on flying for candidates for Congress are different than for the US Senate.

Mark Souder and Brian Sikma from Hoosier Access are talking House rules. Stutzman flew during a Senate campaign under Senate campaign rules. Sikma should have checked his facts before spouting off in hopes of deflecting Sutzman support to his boss, Wes Culver. Sikma stated here:

The most important of those updated rules states that a candidate/campaign is now required to reimburse – at competitive commercial rates, or close to competitive commercial rates – all air travel service providers.

He then referenced a document he found on Barnes and Thornburg’s web site, but it was the wrong reference as it did not relate to Senate campaigns.

The Stutzman campaign today will be disclosing the invoices of the flights that are in-kind contributions by both pilots for a total of 5 flights between the two in the 2nd quarter report. Both are under the contribution limitations for donations of $4800 per couple, $2400 per individual.  The Code of Federal Regulations, section 11CFR113.5 explains this (link – text file).

(d) In-kind contribution. Except as provided in 11 CFR 100.79, the unreimbursed value of transportation provided to any campaign traveler is an in-kind contribution from the service provider to the candidate or political committee on whose behalf, or with whom, the campaign traveler traveled. Such contributions are subject to the reporting requirements, limitations and prohibitions of the Act.

It is further explained in lay terms in the National Business Aviation Association’s, (NBBA) Carriage of Elected officials Handbook. Below are the relevant sections, click to enlarge the image to a readable size.

Here’s how I see this playing out, up to the last vote, but not including it. Nothing scientific here.

Eliminated in the first round with less than 5% of the vote each:

Lonnie Powell
Greg Dickman
Mike Foster
Rachel Grubb
Richard Thonert
Scott Welsh
Bob Morris
Dennis Wright
Joe Schomburg

Eliminated in the second round with less than 10% of the vote

Bob Thomas
Wes Culver
Ryan Elijah

Eliminated in the third round

Randy Borror

And that will leave…

Liz Brown
Marlin Stutzman

What’s your spin?

It’s called, Hoosier Truth.

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The prior poll received 300 votes.

Marlin Stutzman 104 – 34.67%
Liz Brown 97 – 32.33%
Randy Borror 60 – 20%
Bob Thomas 39 – 13%

The top two, Brown and Stutzman are now in the new poll.

I’ve been told that between 10 & 15 precinct chairs have assigned proxies to their vice chairs to vote in their absence this Saturday. Once the list is confirmed, the Indiana Republican Party will distribute the list to the candidates.

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AMAZING…

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I predicted two more would join the race by Wednesday, here’s one of them

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A new limited poll is now up. I know it won’t make some of you happy, but I picked those I feel may make it through rounds one and two.

It will automatically close Wednesday at 10:00 a.m.

Click below for results of prior poll.

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